Sunday, September 18, 2011

Week 2 Picks/Spread

@Buffalo (-3) over Oakland
- I started Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB this week, so he better do well. Don't think he'll have another 4 TD 0 INT game, but I really think he'll do well against shaky Nnamdi-less OAK Defense. I think the Bills have a chance to be a .500 team this year. Buffalo by a TD, and the Bills are 2-0... wait, what?

@Detroit (-8) over Kansas City
- 8 points is a big spread, but I'll eat the points on this. This is my lock of of the week for the Eliminator Challenge on ESPN (Trying to save PIT, GB, BAL, etc for later.) A little uneasy about putting all my trust in the Lions, but I feel good about this one. Another big game from Stafford, Lions start 2-0.

Baltimore (-6) over @Tennessee
- More impressive team in Week 1 than the Baltimore Ravens? May be a couple arguments, but the Ravens looked tough against the Steelers. Big game from Ray Rice; Titans might put up a fight early, but Baltimore wins by more than a TD.

Cleveland (2.5) over @Indianapolis
- The Browns struggled last week against Cincinnati; many people even went as far as to pick Cleveland as their lock of the week for Week 1. Without Peyton Manning, I think this Colts team is one of the worst 5-8 teams in football. Cleveland wins this one in a close, ugly game.

Tampa Bay over @Minnesota (-3)
Straight up: T.B. - The Buccaneers got somewhat of a tough draw to start out their season. After suffering a tough home loss to the up and coming Lions, they have to travel north to the Metrodome in Week 2. Blount gets it going against a Viking Defense that allowed over 200 yards rushing in Week 1. Tampa by 7.

@New Orleans (-7) over Chicago
- This spread makes the pick difficult for me. The Bears always seem to make games close, but I'm going to eat the spread and go with the Saints at home. Brees picked apart a good Green Bay Defense in Week 1, and I think it's more of the same this week. Bears keep it close throughout, but New Orleans by 10 in the end.

@NY Jets (-9.5) over Jacksonville
- Another example of the spread making this pick difficult. The Jets didn't really overly impress me in their Week 1 win over Dallas, but Jacksonville is starting Luke McCown and simply isn't a very good team. Jets get the run game going behind Greene/LT, New York wins by 10 or 14.

@Pittsburgh (-14.5) over Seattle
- Vegas really hates the Seahawks this week. Ever seen a team lose 35-7, and then be favored the next week by 14.5 points? Me neither. That being said, this team should be hungry for their home opener; Rashard Mendenhall has a monster game. Pittsburgh in a blowout.

@Washington (-3.5) over Arizona
- Cam Newton lit up the Cardinals in his NFL debut; The Arizona Pass Defense is pretty poor, and Rex Grossman looked pretty good against the depleted Giants last week. I don't think Grossman is the difference today, it'll be Tim Hightower with the big game. Redskins by a TD.

Green Bay (-10) over @Carolina
- The Packers Offense looked like they were in midseason form in Week 1 against the Saints; Cam Newton impressed in his debut at Arizona. I think Newton struggles this week against possibly the league's best Secondary in the Packers. A lot of Rodgers to Finley; big game from Starks. Packers in a blowout.

Dallas (-3) over @San Francisco
- I thought the Cowboys looked like the better team last week against the Jets; they just completely collapsed in the 4th Quarter. It wouldn't shock me to see San Fran pull off the upset at home, but I think Dallas has too many weapons for the 49ers. For fantasy, I'd start Felix Jones this week. Boys by 6.

@Denver (-4) over Cincinnati
- No Brandon Lloyd, and without Knowshon Moreno... the Broncos will be a little shorthanded against the Bengals. Frankly, I don't like either team here, but I'll go with the home team. Eddie Royal comes back from the dead in Lloyd's absence, and the Broncos win by a TD.

@Miami over Houston (-3)
Straight up: Miami. - The Texans are definitely a good football team, especially with Arian Foster expected to make his season debut at Miami this week. However, Miami's looked good in defeat last week, and I think their Defense is a lot better than their Week 1 performance suggested. Miami wins at home in a close game.

San Diego over @New England (-7)
Straight up: New England. - This is a tough game to predict; I'm taking the Chargers against the spread (NE by 7) because I think it'll be a close game, regardless of the winner. It wouldn't shock me to see San Diego pull off the upset, but Brady is too good at home. New England 27, San Diego 24.

@Atlanta over Philadelphia (-2.5)
Straight up: Atlanta - Another tough game to predict; the Falcons and Matt Ryan are tough to beat at home, but the Eagles are hard to match up against for opposing Defenses. Vick dazzles in his return to Atlanta, but Michael Turner pounds the middle of that Eagles Defense and Atlanta wins by a Field Goal.

Monday Night (2-0) :
St. Louis over @New York Giants (-6)
Straight up: New York Giants. I think the Giants win this game at home in a close game, but I'll take the Rams against the spread. New York bounces back with a better game Offensively than in Week 1 at Washington. St. Louis will miss Steven Jackson, and it'll be too much to put on Sam Bradford's shoulders. Giants by 3.

Week 2 Lock: Detroit over Kansas City

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